Oh, I guess I’m the only one who has seen all of the documentaries over 30+ years filmed from a helicopter with the pilot pointing out how alarmingly fast glaciers are receding as the camera person zooms in on bare rocks.

Maybe I should be a famous fucking scientist, because the loudest ones are obviously being paid to ease panic.

I visited Iceland over the summer. In the Perlan science museum in Reykjavik they have a replica of a plaque that was installed at the site of the former glacier Okjökull. It reads, in English

A letter to the future
Ok is the first Icelandic glacier to lose its status as a glacier.
In the next 200 years all our glaciers are expected to follow the same path.
This monument is to acknowledge that we know what is happening and what needs to be done.
Only you know if we did it.

Followed by the global atmospheric CO₂ reading for when it was installed in August 2019, which was 415ppm

This year we reached 432ppm.

In early September I was watching my nephew play a high school football game in 107 degree heat, sitting with my very Republican brother. We’re both old enough to remember when triple-digit heat was, maybe, on or two odd days in the summer and not a weeks-long affair.

We talked about how hot it was, and I told him I think that within 10-15 years, it’s no longer going to be possible to play football in September without a covered field. What’s wild is he agrees, and I fully expect in the coming decade to see a whole wave of bond drives so high schools can build some means of field coverage.

I don’t think it’s deniable now that human-made climate change is killing the world we knew. Data centers are hastening it, but we’ve seen the travel industry collapse twice in the last 18 years and, in that time, observed precipitous drops in pollution.

We know the solution. We’re just powerless because billionaires are the polluters and billionaires control the world’s governments.

It’s only a slab of ice as big as a country and a kilometers in height. What’s the worst that can happen? /s

Or…

1.2" by 2100 with no acceleration from global warming

That is 0.3mm per year. Current annual sea rise is 4.5mm.

The danger of twaites is sudden collapse/detachment, giving an immediate 2 foot rise. Mostly global sea rise from other sources is what can raise melt from glacier, and accelerate its time of detachment.

For the first time in satellite history, 2022 to 2025 was 4 consecutive sub 2.5m km² antarctic sea ice extents, and were closer to 2m km² , 2026 was still below 2.6m km² . Until now, global warming has not caused visible downtrends in Antarctic sea ice. year to year variation was in a narrow range with no noticeable trend.

Twaites is a region that is subject regularly to blue water events every year. A trend for Antarctic that leads to longer and wider blue water areas on coastal lines is also a recipe for warmer water to interact with Twaites. Returning every year will accelerate the “doomsday glacier” event, in addition to exposing other regional glaciers who, previously to last 5 years, did not get consecutive blue water erosion, which meant recovery years/periods.

Talking about Twaites as though, “if things stay the same, an insignificant number may double” is not the right way to be concerned about Twaites.

I chose to move to a place around 1,100ft above sea level for a good reason.

Down voting won’t make it go away.