Global temperature record could be broken as soon as 2027, with El Niño expected later this year

A record-breaking hot year is almost certain by 2030 as the climate crisis intensifies, the UN’s World Meteorological Organization has warned.

With an El Niño event expected later this year, the global temperature record could fall as soon as 2027.

Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are continuing to rise, trapping more heat and driving more extreme weather, including the record-breaking heatwave that has hit the UK and Europe this week.

Global heating is already estimated to be taking one life every minute, with the toll likely to rise unless emissions fall rapidly.

  • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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    3 days ago

    there were 23 and 24 records set. 25 was 3rd warmest year. Every year since 2015 is in the top all time list. I get the point that el nino will break record this or next year. But progression has bigger consequences than this headline.

  • Magister@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    I’m French and remember in the 70s/80s even 90s we never had 30+°C in fucking May. Now we have 35+ for days, multiple times a year, it’s incredible.

    • otp@sh.itjust.works
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      3 days ago

      “incredible” is not usually used to mean “not credible” (or “not believable”) in English. It usually means “really good”. I’d go with “unbelievable” or “insane”, personally.

      This might just be a North American thing though.

      • Magister@lemmy.world
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        3 days ago

        agree, “unbelievable” or “insane” are better, I am not an english native speaker :)

      • atomicbocks@sh.itjust.works
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        3 days ago

        On the contrary, this meaning is a newer thing. As recently as the 70s incredible and fantastic were used in place of unbelievable but not always in a positive way.

        • otp@sh.itjust.works
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          3 days ago

          Which makes it even harder, as the dictionary definitions may suggest that they’re still used that way in popular usage. I haven’t heard “incredible” used negatively or neutrally (except ironically) in my entire life, which did begin in the 20th century.

          • atomicbocks@sh.itjust.works
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            3 days ago

            These weren’t made in my lifetime but I have definitely heard that usage in 50-70s B-movies.
            For instance “the destruction was incredible”.

  • [object Object]@lemmy.ca
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    3 days ago

    FYI in statistical language “almost certainly” means with probability 1.

    100% probability.

    The math of measure theory allows for such an outcome to happen, just with immeasurably small chance.

    • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      At least theoretically yes. We can release particles into the atmosphere that has the opposite effect of the greenhouse gasses. That instead of keeping the heat within the atmosphere, would reflect heat back to the universe.

      But since USA seems keen to continue to completely drop the ball on the issue, for such solutions we probably need to look to EU or China.

      My suggestion would be to put particles in geostationary orbit above USA, because they are the main villain that has caused this problem, and has done the least to help solve it. So it might as well be them that get less sunlight.

  • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Duh. 🤡

    Are Americans really still denying global warming?
    If they are, I don’t see why that crowd should be considered worth informing, they are clearly immune to reason and evidence.

  • TheDemonBuer@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    Global heating is already estimated to be taking one life every minute, with the toll likely to rise unless emissions fall rapidly.

    I think it’s going to be a while. We’re still committed to the infinite growth paradigm and infinite growth requires infinite energy.

    There’s debate about the feasibility of green growth, but the fact is green energy is already helping to fuel growth. It’s a relatively small percentage of the overall energy mix now, but green energy will grow, and so will fossil fuel energy. We’ll have green growth and fossil fuel growth, and probably nuclear growth, too. As long as we keep growing, we’ll need it all.