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Joined 22 days ago
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Cake day: October 2nd, 2026

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  • It’ll be really interesting to see how this dynamic changes post-midterms.

    Right now it’s pretty clear Trump is doing his best to just avoid having Iran in the news.

    After the midterms, incentives change a lot. Trump will never be up for re-election, and I’m not sure at that point if he cares much about public opinion. In some ways, he’ll have a lot fewer constraints. But… he’ll probably lose congress. He likes to ignore congress though.

    I don’t know how this is going to play out, but I think we’re in for a real shit-show after the midterms.




  • It’s not. But the systemd timer has more robust logging and monitoring, and much more explicit and readable syntax.

    Once you get used to systemd timers, it’s really hard to see why you wouldn’t use them if your system has systemd. Unless writing crontabs by hand makes you feel like a hacker I guess. I’m not even being totally sarcastic about that - there is a fun retro feel to cron.


  • I think most the serious investors know. But, in a bubble, stock value can keep going up long past the point that makes sense. If you think that’s going to happen, it can make sense to invest even if you think it’s a losing play in the long run.

    This should really make the timing more urgent for Anthropic. I was legitimately surprised when they decided to delay the IPO.

    Also there’s still a real chance that Anthropic has some real value proposition that I’m not understanding, though I’ve yet to find someone who can make a coherent argument for what that looks like.


  • Right? This is going to be an interesting story to follow.

    On the one hand, they don’t want to IPO right now, probably because they don’t think investors are keen to buy at the price they’re asking.

    On the other hand, I don’t really see things getting better for them as long as cheap open-weight models that are almost as good as Anthropic’s exist. As more people figure this out, I think it’s going to get worse not better. So I don’t think they can afford to wait long.